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Machine Learning for Earth Systems Modelling - Course 3

Applications and Future Directions

Online training course 3
Cutting edge applications of ML in weather and climate science


 October 2026
Online, self-paced


Fundamentals

Certification available

16-24

Multi-lesson course

Topics

  • Computing services and tools
  • Machine learning

Overview

Discover how machine learning is being applied to real-world Earth system challenges and explore the emerging approaches shaping the future of weather and climate modelling. Under the Destination Earth (DestinE) initiative of the European Commission (DG Connect), ECMWF has developed a series of three online courses on Machine Learning for Earth Systems Modelling. 

The courses offer a structured learning pathway, from foundations and context (Course 1) to advanced architectures (Course 2) and real-world applications (Course 3), showing how machine learning (ML) complements physical modelling and supports next-generation digital twins of the Earth. 

This third and final course of the series, Machine Learning for Earth Systems Modelling: Applications and Future Directions, focuses on advanced applications of ML across weather, climate, and Earth Systems Science. Participants will explore how ML methods can be applied to extreme events, explainability and trust, foundation and hybrid models, sub-seasonal and long-range prediction, downscaling, coupled Earth systems, data assimilation, and end-to-end forecasting workflows. 

With a strong hands-on emphasis, the course combines expert lectures and talks with Jupyter notebooks, readings, panel discussions and quizzes. It is designed both as the final step in the three-course learning pathway and as a collection of standalone advanced modules for experienced practitioners.


Course information and registration

Course Start: 05 October 2026
Estimated study load: Approximately 16-24 hours
Format: Online, self-paced, primarily asynchronous, with a strong hands-on component 
Participation: Free and open to anyone interested who meets the recommended prerequisites

If you are interested in taking the course, you can already register your interest by logging in and enrolling at the bottom of this page.


Objectives

By the end of this online course, Machine Learning for Earth Systems Modelling: Applications and Future Directions, you will have developed the knowledge and skills outlined in the learning outcomes below. 

Course 3_Objectives

  • Implement ML workflows for real world Earth system applications  

  • Evaluate the operational readiness, and limitations of ML based systems 

  • Understand foundation and hybrid modelling strategies for Earth system science  

  • Diagnose failure modes and instability in ML based forecasts  

  • Apply ML approaches to downscaling, data assimilation, coupling, and long-range prediction  

  • Critically assess emerging research directions in ML for weather, climate, and Earth system modelling


Target audience

This course is the third and final course in the three-part DestinE online training series on Machine Learning for Earth Systems Modelling. 

Course 3 - Applications and Future Directions is an advanced technical course aimed primarily at: 

  • Researchers and developers in weather, climate, and Earth-system science  

  • Operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) and climate model developers  

  • ML researchers working with environmental or geophysical data  

  • Advanced PhD students and postdoctoral researchers  

The course can be followed as the final step in the complete three-course programme or as standalone advanced modules by experienced practitioners with the required technical background.


Prerequisites

Participants are expected to have: 

  • Familiarity with Python and Python-based ML ecosystems  

  • Experience with NumPy/xarray and PyTorch or JAX  

  • An understanding of the fundamentals of numerical weather prediction and Earth system modelling  

  • Knowledge of core ML methods covered in Courses 1 and 2  

Prior completion of Course 1 – Foundations and New Frontiers and Course 2 – Architectures, Data and Prediction is recommended for learners who do not already have equivalent knowledge and experience.


Course structure and content

The course consists of 12 modules covering advanced applications and emerging directions in machine learning for Earth-system modelling. The modules move from applied ML workflows for extreme events to explainability, foundation and hybrid models, long-range prediction, downscaling, coupled Earth systems, ML-based data assimilation, end-to-end modelling, operational forecasting workflows, and data-driven scientific discovery. 

The course has a strong practical emphasis. Learning materials include recorded lectures and expert talks, Jupyter notebooks using real-world workflows, Python scripts, demonstrations, readings, quizzes, reflective activities, and expert discussions.  

The modules are:

Modules C3


Course lecturers and contributors

This course was created by ECMWF under the Destination Earth (DestinE) initiative of the European Commission’s DG Connect and contracted to Wageningen University (WU), in collaboration with the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) and Wageningen Research (WR). Scientific content is provided by experts from ECMWF, academia, research institutes, meteorological organisations, and industry. 

Contributors are involved in topics ranging from extreme-event applications and explainable AI to foundation models, hybrid modelling, long-range prediction, downscaling, coupled Earth systems, data assimilation, end-to-end forecasting, and data-driven discovery. 

Experts include (to be updated): 

Eduardo Acuna Espinoza, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)

Eduardo Acuna, KIT

Eduardo is a civil engineer and researcher from Costa Rica who focuses on hydrological and hydraulic modelling, with applications in flood forecasting. He earned his PhD from the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (Germany), a master's degree from the University of Stuttgart (Germany), and a bachelor's degree from the University of Costa Rica. Currently, Eduardo applies machine learning methods for hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling at Hydron GmbH and conducts research at the Institute for Water and Environment at KIT.

Mihai Alexe, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)


Tom Beucler, Assistant Professor of Environmental Data Science at University of Lausanne

Tom Beucler, University of Lausanne

Tom Beucler leads the Data-Driven Atmospheric & Water Dynamics (∂3AWN) laboratory, the first research group worldwide dedicated to bridging atmospheric physics and AI. Tom holds a Ph.D. in atmospheric science from MIT, where he studied tropical convection. His postdoctoral work at Columbia University and UC Irvine focused on deep learning for climate modeling.

Niklas Boers, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and Technical University of Munich (TUM)  



Eulalie Boucher, Scientist for Machine Learning at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Eulalie Boucher, ECMWF

Eulalie Boucher is a Scientist for Machine Learning at ECMWF, working on AI-DOP, focusing on end-to-end forecasting from observations only. Eulalie completed a PhD at the Observatoire de Paris | PSL, where the research explored the use of deep learning for satellite infrared spectrometer observations. The work combines machine learning and Earth observation data for weather and climate applications.

Harrison Cook, Research Scientist at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Harrison Cook

Harrison Cook is a Research Software Engineer at ECMWF, focusing on machine learning for weather forecasting, software development, and scientific evaluation. His work involves developing and maintaining large-scale software systems that process vast amounts of meteorological data to support forecasting and research activities. Harrison is particularly interested in enabling scientists through scalable and collaborative software solutions for machine learning and artificial intelligence applications in weather and climate science. Before joining ECMWF, he worked as a Data Scientist at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.

Jesper Dramsch, Scientist for Machine Learning at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Jesper Dramsch, ECMWF

Jesper Dramsch is a Scientist for Machine Learning at ECMWF, working on AI-driven weather forecasting systems. They are a core developer of the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) and contribute to Anemoi, the open-source machine learning framework for weather forecasting developed with European national meteorological services. Their work focuses on graph neural networks, scalable AI infrastructure, and operational machine learning workflows for numerical weather prediction. They're a Software Sustainability Institute Fellow focused on reproducible research and co-organised ECMWF's first MOOC on Machine Learning in Weather and Climate, as well as, contributes to training activities for ECMWF Member States, write the newsletter "Late to the Party", and have a knack for cutting through hype. Jesper also serves as co-chair of the Working Group Modelling within the UN ITU Global Initiative on AI for Natural Disaster Management.

Joffrey Dumont, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Joffrey Dumont Le Brazidec, ECMWF

Joffrey Dumont Le Brazidec has been a scientist at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in Bonn, Germany, since March 2024. Within Destination Earth, he develops machine-learning downscaling, using generative models built with ECMWF's Anemoi framework to produce high-resolution ensemble weather forecasts. He received his PhD in 2021 from the École nationale des ponts et chaussées (ENPC), funded by the Institute for Radiological Protection and Nuclear Safety (IRSN), on the Bayesian inversion of radionuclide sources. As a postdoc at ENPC, he worked on the European CoCO2 project, estimating local CO2 emissions from satellite imagery with deep learning.

Sebastian Engelke, Professor of Statistics and AI at the University of Geneva

Sebastian Engelke

Sebastian Engelke is a Professor of Statistics and AI. His research group works on the statistical analysis of extreme events, with applications across a range of domains, including hydrology, climate science, and finance. He is particularly interested in evaluating AI-based weather forecasting systems and developing methods to improve their prediction of extreme weather events.


Veronika Eyring, Professor of AI for Climate and Physical Systems at the University of Tübingen, connAIx Heilbronn & Tübingen AI Center

Veronika Eyring

Veronika Eyring is Professor of AI for Climate and Physical Systems at the University of Tübingen, Founding Director of connAIx – Research School for Applied AI Baden-Württemberg, and a faculty member of the Tübingen AI Center. Her research develops AI methods for modelling and predicting complex physical systems, particularly the climate system, with a focus on causal world models and next-generation physical digital twins.
She has contributed extensively to IPCC assessments, including as Coordinating Lead Author of Chapter 3, “Human Influence on the Climate System,” in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. She chaired the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Panel from 2014–2020 and is the corresponding PI of the ERC Synergy Grant USMILE. She is an ELLIS Fellow and Affiliate Scientist at NCAR. Her distinctions include the 2021 DFG Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Prize, the 2024 AGU Ambassador Award and Fellowship, and appointment as TUM Distinguished Affiliated Professor.

Marco Froelich, University of Geneva


Rachel Furner, Scientist Ocean Modelling at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Rachel Furner, ECMWF

Rachel is a research scientist at ECMWF within the ocean modelling team. She works on developing and evaluating data-driven ocean models. Her work focuses on using and adapting ANEMOI to train predictive models of the ocean, using machine learning. This includes assessing different architecture options, data sources and resolution, and training methodologies. Rachel began her career developing physics-based ocean models. More recently, in 2024 she completed a PhD investigating data-driven ocean modelling, building emulators of idealized ocean configurations.

Sarany Ganesh Sudheesh, University of Lausanne


Alan Geer, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Alan Geer is a principal scientist at ECMWF, where he develops methods to make better use of satellite observations in weather forecasting. His work spans data assimilation, remote sensing and machine learning. He is particularly interested in how physical knowledge and statistical learning can be combined to improve environmental prediction. Over his career, he has contributed to the development of all-sky satellite data assimilation and more recently its extension to earth surfaces, all-surface assimilation. His current research focuses on the physical characteristics of sea ice, using hybrid physical-empirical approaches that combine prior physical knowledge with data-driven methods.

William Gregory, University College London (UCL)

William Gregory, University College London

Will Gregory is a Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions Fellow at University College London (UCL), where he uses AI to improve sea ice and snow physics within coupled climate models and also develop coupled climate model emulators. His broader focus is on sea ice predictability and understanding large-scale polar climate change. Prior to UCL, Will was a postdoctoral research associate at Princeton University, where he worked closely with the NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory on using AI to improve sea ice predictions in their coupled seasonal-to-decadal prediction model.

Arthur Grundner, German Aerospace Center (DLR)

Arthur Grundner, postdoctoral researcher at the German Aerospace Center (DLR).

Arthur Grundner is a postdoctoral researcher at the German Aerospace Center (DLR) in the Earth System Models Evaluation and Validation team at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics.
He co-leads the largest work package of the AI4PEX EU Horizon project, which develops ML-based parameterizations for key processes in Earth System Models.
He joined the DLR in 2019 after completing his studies in mathematics and has since worked on efficient and interpretable ML-parameterizations, with a focus on clouds and the ICON model.


Tijana Janjic, Heisenberg Professor of Data Assimilation at the Mathematical Institute for Machine Learning and Data Science, Catholic University of Eichstätt–Ingolstadt

Tijana_Janjic 

Tijana Janjić is Heisenberg Professor of Data Assimilation at the Mathematical Institute for Machine Learning and Data Science, Catholic University of Eichstätt–Ingolstadt, Germany. Her research combines data assimilation, uncertainty quantification and machine learning for atmospheric and oceanic applications, with particular emphasis on physical constraints and convective-scale weather prediction. She holds a PhD in Applied Mathematics from the University of Maryland and a habilitation in Meteorology from LMU Munich. Her previous research appointments include NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, MIT and the Alfred Wegener Institute.

Katie Kowal, University of Chicago  


Peter Lean, Senior Scientist at European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Peter Lean, Senior Scientist at ECMWF

Peter Lean is a Senior Scientist at ECMWF working in the Earth System Assimilation Section. His background is in data assimilation and observation processing, but in recent years has become increasingly involved with machine learning. His current research involves exploring the extent to which machine learning weather prediction models can be trained on observational data. Previously, Peter worked on mesoscale model development at the UK Met Office before completing postdoctoral positions at NASA JPL and at the University of Reading as a EUMETSAT Fellow.

Claire Monteleoni, INRIA

Carolina Natel, Postdoctoral Researcher at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) 

Carolina Natel, KIT

Carolina Natel is a postdoc at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT). Her research combines process-based and machine learning methods for ecosystem modelling. She currently develops AI-based wildfire forecasting models, with a focus on making efficient use of the growing volume of satellite data to capture antecedent weather and fuel conditions and improve predictions of wildfire occurrence.

Ewan Pinnington, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Ana Prieto Nemesio, Machine Learning Engineer Team Lead at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Ana Prieto Nemesio, ECMWF

Ana Prieto Nemesio is the Machine Learning Engineering Team Lead at ECMWF, where she leads ML engineering activities and supports the development of Anemoi, an open-source data-driven weather forecasting framework co-developed with European national meteorological services. She has a background in Aerospace Engineering and holds a master’s degree in advanced computational methods and flow management. Ana began her career working on research projects at the intersection of artificial intelligence and remote sensing as a Machine Learning Engineer. She later worked as a Computer Vision Data Scientist, focusing on climate risk modelling and leading the development of a high-resolution digital terrain model using deep learning techniques.

Nina Raoult, Research Scientist at European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Nina Raoult, Research Scientis at ECMWF

Nina Raoult is a research scientist at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), specialising in land surface modelling, parameter estimation, and machine learning. As part of Destination Earth, she is the lead developer of aiLand, a machine-learned emulator of ECMWF’s ecLand surface scheme, and leads efforts to incorporate land and hydrological variables into AIFS, ECMWF’s data-driven forecast model. Previously, she held an ESA CCI fellowship at LSCE, France and a Marie Curie fellowship at the University of Exeter. Nina is also a core member of the team leading the Land Calibration Model Intercomparison Project (CalLMIP).

Mario Santa Cruz, Machine Learning Scientist at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Mario Santa Cruz López is a Machine Learning Scientist at ECMWF, where he works on the development of AI-driven weather and Earth-system forecasting models within the Anemoi framework. His research interests include the integration of observations into operation data-driven forecasting systems, multi-domain modelling, and training strategies with multiple datasets and high-resolution modelling.

Julien Savre-Piou, Senior Scientist at the German Aerospace Center (DLR)

Julien Savre-Piou, Senior Scientist at the German Aerospace Center (DLR)

Julien Savre is a Senior Scientist at the German Aerospace Center (DLR), where he currently leads the development of a hybrid version of the ICON model. His research focuses on leveraging physics-informed machine learning to advance Earth system modelling, with a particular emphasis on developing data-driven parameterizations to improve the representation of complex physical processes. Prior to joining DLR, Julien held research positions at LMU Munich, the University of Cambridge, and Stockholm University, where he worked on a range of topics related to atmospheric and climate modelling.

Iat Hin Tam, University of Geneva


Richard Turner, Professor of Machine Learning at the University of Cambridge

Richard Turner, University of Cambridge

Richard E. Turner is Professor of Machine Learning at the University of Cambridge. He has helped pioneer AI approaches for modelling the Earth system. He led the Aardvark project, which set out a new approach to medium range AI weather forecasting and co-led the development of Aurora, a foundation model for the Earth system. His previous roles include Research Lead for AI for Weather Prediction at the Alan Turing Institute and Visiting Researcher at Microsoft Research in the AI4Science team. Richard is the Cambridge lead of the £8M EPSRC Probabilistic AI Hub and was founding Co-Director of the UKRI AI4ER Centre for Doctoral Training. He has secured over £35 million in research funding and received the Cambridge Students’ Union Teaching Award.


Lorenzo Zampieri, Scientist at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)  

Lorenzo Zampirie, ECMWF

Lorenzo Zampieri is a scientist at ECMWF working on machine learning approaches for sea ice, ocean, and wave modelling for the AIFS. His research focuses on sea ice prediction and predictability, thermodynamic parameterisations, and the application of machine learning to Earth-system modelling. Before joining ECMWF, Lorenzo worked as a postdoctoral researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and as a junior scientist at the Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC). He completed his PhD in Physics at the Alfred Wegener Institute and the University of Bremen.

Contributors

Samuel Sutanto, Assistant Professor Compound Hydrological Extremes and Climate Services at Wageningen University | Principal Investigator

Samuel

Natalia Gomez-Solano, Researcher Climate Information Services at Wageningen University | Course co-coordination

Natalia

Dwaipayan Chatterjee, Scientist at KIT | Course scientific coordinator

dr. Dwaipayan Chatterjee

Imme Benedict, Assistant Professor in Meteorology at Wageningen University | Course developer

Imme

Bouke Hefting, Student Assistant at Wageningen University| Course developer

Boukje

Janine Quist, Programme manager Continuing Education at Wageningen University| Educational and Communication Expert

Janine

Vassianna Alexopoulou, Online course moderator at Wageningen University| Forum Moderator

Vassiana

Martin Janssens, Assistant Professor in Meteorology at Wageningen University | Course developer

Martin




Course Content

  • Please fill in this pre-course survey
  • Announcements
  • Forum
  • 1.1 Extreme event prediction with AI weather models: Abilities and limitations
  • 1.2 Rainfall runoff simulation using ML
  • 1.3 Wildfire forecasting using ML
  • 1.4 Quiz
  • Introduction
  • Welcome to this course
  • Introduction to the course
  • What will you learn in this course?
  • Who is this course for?
  • Set-up of the course
  • Jupyter notebooks in this course
  • Forum
  • 1.1 Extreme event prediction with AI weather models: Abilities and limitations
  • 1.2 Flood forecasting using ML
  • 1.3 Wildfire forecasting using ML
  • 1.4 Quiz
  • 3 Foundation Models
  • 4 Explainability & Trust
  • Handout

Tags

  • DestinE

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