Course Content
- Using stochastic physics to represent model uncertainty
eLearning
Representing model uncertainty with stochastic physics
Explore sources of uncertainty in NWP and how this is represented in the IFS using stochastic physics.
Last updated: 8 December 2025
Certification not available
Single module
What you'll learn
- Sources of model uncertainty
- How model uncertainty is represented in ensemble forecasts, and in particular in the IFS
- How process-level model uncertainty is accounted for, including the Stochastically Perturbed Parameterisation Tendencies scheme