Course Content
- Sources of Uncertainty
eLearning
Sources of Uncertainty
Learn about uncertainties and chaotic behaviour in NWP, why ensembles are needed and how they are used at ECMWF.
Last updated: 8 December 2025
Fundamentals
Certification not available
40 minutes
Single module
What you'll learn
- Sources of forecast uncertainty and chaotic behaviour
- Ensembles as a tool for capturing uncertainty and probabilistic prediction
- ECMWF model setup, initial conditions