Description
Ensembles are run to account for uncertainties in initial conditions.
This lesson explores the sources of error in NWP, how they are
quantified, and how ensembles are evaluated.
eLearning
Ensemble Forecasting: Sources of forecast uncertainty (introduction)
Learn about sources of error in NWP, how they are quantified, and how ensembles are evaluated.
Fundamentals
40 minutes
Single module
What you'll learn
- Sources of forecast uncertainty
- How ensembles quantify forecast uncertainty
- How to extract information from the ensemble and evaluate performance
- Communicating uncertainty